It is not possible to predict whether we will ever see a world government. Predictions about global political changes are sufficiently unreliable and shade into science fiction or fantasy. Instead, at best, it is possible to extrapolate events in the next few decades based on current trends.
The period immediately after World War II was one in which there seemed to be a trend toward global governance. The United Nations was founded in 1945, the European Union gradually evolved from 1951 until its formal foundation in 1993, the World Trade Organization in was founded in 1995, and the International Criminal Court in 2002. The twenty-first century, however, has seen a dramatic rise in nativism and revanchism, and a rolling back of international cooperation, with Brexit and the United States's withdrawing from the Paris Climate Accord and undermining NAFTA and other trade treaties. This suggests that nationalism and fissiparous nation-states may remain common for at least another century.
On the positive side, global government would mean an end to wars between nations and wasteful competition. It would be an economic boon, removing many barriers to movement of goods and people. On the other hand, the benefits of a global government would depend on the nature of the government and its policies. A global authoritarian government, or one that did not respect the rights of women and minorities would be quite harmful. Also, even if there were an overarching global government, there would still need to be local and regional structures in place to deal with such issues as building permits, fire departments, water and sewer systems, road building, and other local issues. Whether some form of world government would be good or bad depends on the nature of such a government and its relationship to more localized forms of governance. Without knowing those details, it is impossible to judge the value of such a system.
Personally, I think increased international cooperation is a good idea in principle, but implementation details would be quite complex.
Thursday, November 19, 2015
Do you think we will ever see a one world government? What would be the benefits of a New World Order and what would be the risks? What would you like to see occur and why?
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