Friday, October 24, 2014

College Algebra, Chapter 10, 10.5, Section 10.5, Problem 10

Find the expected value (or expectation) of the games described.

A card is drawn from a deck. You win $\$104$ if the card is an ace, $\$26$ if it is a face card, and $\$13$ if it is the 8 of clubs.

The deck of 52 cards has four ace with probability $\displaystyle \frac{4}{52} = \frac{1}{3}$, twelve face card with probability
$\displaystyle \frac{12}{52} = \frac{3}{13}$ and one 8 of clubs with probability $\displaystyle \frac{1}{52}$.
So you get $\$104$ with probability $\displaystyle \frac{1}{3}, \$26$ with probability $\displaystyle \frac{3}{18}$
and $\$13$ with probability $\displaystyle \frac{1}{52}$. Thus, the expected value is

$\displaystyle 104 \left( \frac{1}{13} \right) + 26 \left( \frac{3}{13} \right) + 13 \left( \frac{1}{52} \right) = \frac{57}{4} = 14.25$

This means that if you play this game, you will make, $\$14.25$ per game.

No comments:

Post a Comment

Why is the fact that the Americans are helping the Russians important?

In the late author Tom Clancy’s first novel, The Hunt for Red October, the assistance rendered to the Russians by the United States is impor...